Russia’s next mobilization likely to look very different from 2022 — analyst
global.espreso.tv
Sun, 20 Jul 2025 19:20:00 +0300

Vadym Denysenko, head of the analytical center Dilova Stolytsya (Business Capital), said this on Espreso TV."He is afraid to announce a forced mobilization at this time. Although I believe there will be no social unrest, he fears announcing it because any social issues build up gradually. No one knows where the breaking point will occur. So far, we do not know whether the Lavrov-Kim Jong Un negotiations have ended. Last week, Lavrov was in Pyongyang, and there were statements about Russia supporting North Korea’s nuclear capabilities. But we don’t know if an agreement was made that Russia’s nuclear technologies would be exchanged for people who will fight on Ukrainian territory," he said.In his opinion, China should play a role here, as it has the ability to "restrain" North Korea in its grasp."Right now, Putin is still looking for ways to replace mobilization with other options. From my point of view, apart from the Korean option, he has nothing else. If that option fails, we will need to watch the information campaign that may or may not develop in Russia regarding possible mobilization," Denysenko added.The analyst noted that currently, nothing in the information space indicates that Putin has decided to carry out mobilization."But we should also remember that in 2022, all of this happened without any information campaign. So this is something to watch closely. In my opinion, Putin is not yet ready for this. However, all the tools — legislative and legal — are fully prepared. And this mobilization will be fundamentally different from the 2022 mobilization, again, if it happens," he concluded.A full-scale mobilization in Russia could become one of the most dangerous scenarios not only for Ukraine but for all of Europe.
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