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European nations rightly preparing for possible Russian escalation — opposition expert

global.espreso.tv
Sat, 26 Jul 2025 13:35:00 +0300
European nations rightly preparing for possible Russian escalation — opposition expert
Russian opposition figure and political analyst Aleksandr Morozov, who is currently in Prague, said this in an interview with Antin Borkovskyi, host of the Studio West program on Espreso TV.“Six months ago, experts were still asked about the ‘party of peace’ and the ‘party of war.’ As history has shown with the Trump initiative, which the Kremlin responded to in a certain way, there is no ‘party of peace,’ and no Kirill Dmitriev or any other ‘mysterious figures’ in the Russian political scene are not only independent supporters of peace but are not even real groups,” he believes.According to Morozov, there is no doubt, and it is clearly visible, that over the past year the FSB and the entire security services network have strengthened their influence in politics and across the economic life.“This existed before, of course. But now it is clear that not only the FSB, but the positions on many issues coincide without any conflicts among the ‘towers’ — the positions align in the presidential administration, the FSB, the security services, the Ministry of Justice, and others. It is now impossible to say that there are any technocrats in the Russian government whom one might hope could end the war or move toward another form — it’s not so,” the expert believes.The political analyst added that the Russian government is now fully composed of people who consistently adapt the economy to war, isolation, and self-isolation.“They are completely devoted to Putinism as an ideology. There is no one left with a different position today; all are actively involved in exploiting the occupied territories according to Putin’s doctrine. In my view, there is no reason to see it otherwise. When we say that such a reign of terror always ends in some kind of destruction and cannot keep escalating endlessly in repression, that is true,” he said.In his opinion, the question remains: when and how will this latest and final domination of the security forces end?“I would say this is a danger, and European countries are rightly preparing for worst-case scenarios now — scenarios where Putin’s and the Kremlin’s madness spills beyond this war and leads to its expansion. I believe the accurate assessments we hear from German and British analytical and military centers are correct: whereas before they said a conflict with the Kremlin might happen around 2030 or 2035, now they say there is maybe only a year and a half or two left until the political situation reaches a point where the danger of such a conflict significantly increases and requires major defensive measures now,” Morozov said.The expert added that today it is very important to be concerned about three things.“First: strengthening NATO’s eastern flank must not happen separately from supporting all measures to bolster Ukraine’s defense capabilities by the European Union, the United States, and the entire global alliance. That is, the eastern flank and Europe’s defense need to be strengthened, but not in a way that leaves Ukraine outside this framework,” he emphasized.The oppositional politician added that the second important point is not to be overly afraid of Kremlin infiltration into Europe.“That is exaggerated, and this exaggeration is quite dangerous, as it creates the impression that the Kremlin is all-powerful. It is not. What is needed here is a certain mobilization of European countries, their governments and societies, to show that democracy will stand firm and will not succumb to any ‘right-wing turn’ — ultra-right radicalism. The core of democracy and liberal culture will be preserved in Europe,” Morozov said.In his opinion, this is important for Ukraine.“Because if Europe itself ‘goes downhill,’ what will Ukraine rely on in its fight and resistance — it will remain ideologically alone, and that is a bad story. And the third important point: no matter what rhetoric we hear from Donald Trump, no matter how unstable it may be, we need to increasingly separate that rhetoric from what the U.S. will actually do. After all, the U.S. Department of Defense continues to cooperate with Ukraine and European countries,” the expert said.He expressed his opinion on the future of the American military presence in Europe.“In what form will arms deliveries to Ukraine continue? To say they will stop completely, neither Ukrainian nor European diplomacy can agree to that or simply accept it. So, they will continue to some extent. This work must go on. Too much attention is paid to Trump’s rhetoric. But we have already understood it, it’s been six months,” Morozov concluded.
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