The author of the Resurgam channel and expert in foreign relations shared his opinion.Last week brought three major developments from Europe that clearly signal to the Kremlin. 1. Germany announced it will provide Ukraine with roughly $10 billion annually in the coming years. Crucially, this was confirmed by Finance Minister and Vice Chancellor Lars Klingbeil (SPD) in the Merz-led government (CDU), signaling coalition agreement on the step. This figure excludes Germany’s contributions through EU and G7 programs supporting Ukraine.2. Norway continues to ramp up its support, planning $8.5 billion in military aid for Ukraine next year. The proposal will be submitted to parliament. 3. Ukraine’s President Zelenskyy expressed hope that the new PURL system for NATO-facilitated U.S. weapons purchases will ensure Ukraine receives at least $1 billion worth of American arms every month.So far, Ukraine’s ambitions align with Europe’s orders of U.S. weaponry: in just under two months since the PURL program began, the Netherlands, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Germany, Lithuania, Latvia, and Canada have collectively allocated over $2 billion for U.S. arms and services for Ukraine.If the pace continues, PURL alone could match the U.S. packages previously provided under the Biden administration’s PDA. Likely, however, PURL weapons are not sourced exclusively from U.S. stockpiles but from a mix of stock and production.Why are European support projections for 2026 surfacing now?1. The simplest explanation: the start of fall budget sessions and planning for 2026.2. A more strategic reason: signaling to both the Kremlin and Washington the limits Europe will not cross — for example, rejecting Russia’s demand to stop arms deliveries to Ukraine. Even former President Trump has called NATO-facilitated U.S. arms sales “fantastic” and “incredible.”3. Taken together, these three initiatives by European countries (excluding EU-level and other national government support) in 2026 will effectively surpass not only U.S. aid in financial terms but also the minimal level of American arms and services.NATO chief Rutte recently noted that at this point, Europeans and Canadians have pledged $35 billion in military support for Ukraine this year. Last year, the total was just over $50 billion for the entire year. Already before midyear, the pledge is $35 billion, and some estimates put it closer to $40 billion.Thus, Ukraine is set to receive military aid at least matching 2024 levels — with one caveat: in 2024, this total included a significant U.S. contribution, which in 2025 is currently under $1 billion.These developments confirm earlier assessments that Europe would find a way to cover U.S. aid — a prediction now proven correct.